OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Valero Texas Open

2023-03-30 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Corey Conners
Winning score
-15
Field
143
Field strength
-0.07 SG

The 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 30 March 2023. Corey Conners won at 15 under par (273), 1 stroke ahead of Sam Stevens. The winning card was 64, 72, 69 and 68, and the win paid $1,602,000. Sam Stevens finished second, and Matt Kuchar and Sam Ryder tied for third. 143 players started the event. The field averaged -0.07 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 143. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.368
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (64th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st15th
Corey Conners2nd1st
Chris Kirk3rd10th
Si Woo Kim4th39th
Matt Kuchar5th3rd
Rickie Fowler6th10th
Brendon Todd7th53rd
Taylor Montgomery8th22nd
Thomas Detry9th64th
Alex Noren10th15th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Thomas Detry9th64th(+55)
Chez Reavie58th6th(−52)
MJ Daffue64th15th(−49)
Padraig Harrington57th10th(−47)
Brendon Todd7th53rd(+46)
Jimmy Walker68th22nd(−46)
Andrew Novak54th9th(−45)
Nico Echavarria65th28th(−37)
Brandon Wu22nd58th(+36)
Si Woo Kim4th39th(+35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2022-2023?

Corey Conners won the 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 30 March 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Corey Conners.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

143 players started the 2022-2023 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.