Golf course fit this weekBiltmore Championship Asheville
Who this week’s course sets up for: skill, course-specific fit and current form, each a percentile inside this week’s field. The model is rebuilt for every tournament — how it is put together is on the methodology page.
Every number is a percentile inside this week's field · full model, with past weeks
Data published 1 September 2026 · refreshes every 15 minutes during play.
What course fit measures
Course fit asks a narrower question than who is the best player: it asks whose game this particular course rewards. Every score on this page is a percentile inside this week's field, from 0 to 100, so a 90 means the player sits in the top tenth of this field on that measure — not that they are good in the abstract. The headline model number blends three separate things: baseline skill, which is course-neutral; fit, which is the part that actually reads the venue; and current form. Keeping them in separate columns is deliberate. A player can rate highly because the course suits them and poorly on form, or the reverse, and a single blended number hides exactly the disagreement that makes the week interesting. The model is rebuilt for every tournament, so this page is never last week's answer.
How the fit score is built
Skill comes from a player's strokes-gained categories across recent seasons, adjusted for the strength of the fields they were earned in. Fit weights the parts of the game this course actually asks for — approach play by distance band, driving distance and accuracy, the short game, putting, and the player's own history at the venue — and the weights used for the current week are printed above the table rather than kept private. Form is a difficulty-adjusted strokes-gained measure: each recent round scored against how hard it genuinely played, weighted toward the most recent starts, and pulled back toward the field average when there are few rounds to go on. Players with little or no measured tour data are flagged rather than ranked confidently, and so are those whose form rests on a thin sample.
What a fit score does not say
A high fit score is not a prediction that somebody will win, and the ranking is not a leaderboard. Course fit is the smallest of the three inputs for a reason: golf's week-to-week variance is enormous, and the honest size of a venue effect is a fraction of a stroke per round rather than the deciding factor commentary often makes it. Venue history in particular is thin evidence — a player may have four rounds here, or none, and four rounds cannot separate a course that suits them from a week they happened to putt well. The percentile framing also means the numbers move when the field moves: the same player can score 88 in a weak field and 61 in a major, having changed nothing. If you want the model's outright chances instead, those are published as probabilities with their track record attached.
Common questions
What is course fit in golf?
How are the course-fit scores calculated?
Does a good course fit mean a player will win?
How often does the course-fit model update?
Sourcing is set out on the methodology page; every stat name is defined in the glossary.