OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

Valero Texas Open

2024-04-04 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Akshay Bhatia
Winning score
-20
Field
151
Field strength
+0.01 SG

The 2024 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2024. Akshay Bhatia won at 20 under par (268). The winning card was 63, 70, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,656,000. Denny McCarthy finished second, and Rory McIlroy was third. 151 players started the event. The field averaged +0.01 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.443
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (84th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st3rd
Collin Morikawa2nd75th
Ludvig Åberg3rd14th
Max Homa4th25th
Hideki Matsuyama5th7th
Jordan Spieth6th10th
Brian Harman7th25th
Corey Conners8th25th
Tommy Fleetwood9th7th
Russell Henley10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Collin Morikawa2nd75th(+73)
Tyson Alexander80th14th(−66)
Thorbjørn Olesen79th14th(−65)
Rico Hoey76th14th(−62)
Mac Meissner70th10th(−60)
Beau Hossler22nd78th(+56)
Nicolai Højgaard25th75th(+50)
Ryo Hisatsune31st78th(+47)
Ben Silverman37th81st(+44)
Ben Martin51st7th(−44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2024?

Akshay Bhatia won the 2024 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2024 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2024 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Akshay Bhatia.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

151 players started the 2024 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.