Tournaments / 2021-2022

Valero Texas Open

2022-03-31 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner: J.J. Spaun
Winning score: -13
Field: 145
Field strength: -0.009 SG

The 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 31 March 2022. J.J. Spaun won at 13 under par (275), 2 strokes ahead of Matt Jones. The winning card was 67, 70, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,548,000. Matt Jones and Matt Kuchar tied for second. 145 players started the event. The field averaged -0.009 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 145. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	J.J. Spaun	67	70	69	69	275	-13
T2	Matt Jones	68	75	68	66	277	-11
T2	Matt Kuchar	67	69	72	69	277	-11
T4	Adam Hadwin	70	70	71	67	278	-10
T4	Beau Hossler	73	66	67	72	278	-10
T4	Charles Howell III	70	67	72	69	278	-10
T4	Troy Merritt	69	71	69	69	278	-10
T8	Brendon Todd	68	69	72	70	279	-9
T8	Dylan Frittelli	70	66	70	73	279	-9
T8	Gary Woodland	70	67	72	70	279	-9
T8	Keegan Bradley	71	71	71	66	279	-9
T8	Matthias Schwab	69	72	70	68	279	-9
T13	Anirban Lahiri	68	73	69	70	280	-8
T13	Mito Pereira	71	70	69	70	280	-8
T13	Scott Stallings	68	72	67	73	280	-8
T13	Si Woo Kim	69	72	68	71	280	-8
T13	Zach Johnson	72	71	70	67	280	-8
T18	Aaron Baddeley	69	74	68	70	281	-7
T18	Brandt Snedeker	73	66	67	75	281	-7
T18	Denny McCarthy	67	74	68	72	281	-7

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.352
Top-20 hit rate: 55%
Top-10 avg model rank: 21.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (59th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Corey Conners	1st	35th
Chris Kirk	2nd	35th
Keegan Bradley	3rd	8th
Jordan Spieth	4th	35th
Tony Finau	5th	29th
Si Woo Kim	6th	13th
Maverick McNealy	7th	35th
Kevin Streelman	8th	18th
Jhonattan Vegas	9th	18th
Gary Woodland	10th	8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Scott Gutschewski	70th	18th(−52)
Russell Knox	13th	61st(+48)
Aaron Baddeley	65th	18th(−47)
Beau Hossler	50th	4th(−46)
Henrik Stenson	64th	18th(−46)
Luke List	11th	53rd(+42)
Jared Wolfe	71st	29th(−42)
Lanto Griffin	12th	53rd(+41)
Kevin Chappell	59th	18th(−41)
J.J. Spaun	39th	1st(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2021-2022?

J.J. Spaun won the 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 31 March 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 13 under par (275 strokes), posted by J.J. Spaun.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

145 players started the 2021-2022 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.