Tournaments / 2020-2021

Valero Texas Open

2021-04-01 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner: Jordan Spieth
Winning score: -18
Field: 144
Field strength: -0.058 SG

The 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 1 April 2021. Jordan Spieth won at 18 under par (270), 2 strokes ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 67, 70, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,386,000. Charley Hoffman finished second, and Matt Wallace was third. 144 players started the event. The field averaged -0.058 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Jordan Spieth	67	70	67	66	270	-18
2	Charley Hoffman	75	66	65	66	272	-16
3	Matt Wallace	69	68	67	70	274	-14
4	Lucas Glover	73	67	70	66	276	-12
5	Anirban Lahiri	71	69	69	69	278	-10
T6	Brandt Snedeker	72	67	72	68	279	-9
T6	Chris Kirk	72	72	67	68	279	-9
T6	Gary Woodland	71	72	67	69	279	-9
T9	Cameron Tringale	66	69	73	72	280	-8
T9	Patton Kizzire	71	74	70	65	280	-8
T9	Sebastián Muñoz	68	74	69	69	280	-8
T12	Matt Kuchar	70	70	70	71	281	-7
T12	Tom Hoge	68	76	66	71	281	-7
T14	Corey Conners	71	74	67	70	282	-6
T14	Erik van Rooyen	71	68	72	71	282	-6
T14	Kyle Stanley	71	68	72	71	282	-6
T17	Brandon Hagy	70	70	72	71	283	-5
T17	Camilo Villegas	64	76	71	72	283	-5
T17	Keith Mitchell	72	69	71	71	283	-5
T17	Luke List	73	71	70	69	283	-5

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.292
Top-20 hit rate: 45%
Top-10 avg model rank: 22.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (40th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Scottie Scheffler	1st	54th
Abraham Ancer	2nd	23rd
Corey Conners	3rd	14th
Hideki Matsuyama	4th	30th
Chris Kirk	5th	6th
Ryan Palmer	6th	17th
Cameron Tringale	7th	9th
Charley Hoffman	8th	2nd
Jordan Spieth	9th	1st
Brendan Steele	10th	77th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Brendan Steele	10th	77th(+67)
Ryan Moore	12th	76th(+64)
Cam Davis	13th	69th(+56)
John Huh	15th	69th(+54)
Scottie Scheffler	1st	54th(+53)
Anirban Lahiri	56th	5th(−51)
Camilo Villegas	62nd	17th(−45)
Joel Dahmen	30th	74th(+44)
Keith Mitchell	61st	17th(−44)
Sepp Straka	25th	67th(+42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2020-2021?

Jordan Spieth won the 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 1 April 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 18 under par (270 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

144 players started the 2020-2021 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.