OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Valero Texas Open

2019-04-04 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Corey Conners
Winning score
-20
Field
146
Field strength
+0.019 SG

The 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2019. Corey Conners won at 20 under par (268), 2 strokes ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 69, 67, 66 and 66, and the win paid $1,350,000. Charley Hoffman finished second, and Ryan Moore was third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.019 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 81% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.273
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (34th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st30th
Matt Kuchar2nd7th
Rickie Fowler3rd17th
Tony Finau4th61st
Ryan Moore5th3rd
Jim Furyk6th23rd
Byeong Hun An7th7th
Abraham Ancer8th42nd
Lucas Glover9th14th
Jason Kokrak10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Brian Gay14th77th(+63)
Tony Finau4th61st(+57)
Cameron Tringale74th17th(−57)
J.B. Holmes15th71st(+56)
Scott Brown60th7th(−53)
Joel Dahmen18th69th(+51)
José de Jesús Rodríguez73rd23rd(−50)
Vaughn Taylor22nd71st(+49)
Zack Fischer61st14th(−47)
J.T. Poston21st67th(+46)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2018-2019?

Corey Conners won the 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Corey Conners.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

146 players started the 2018-2019 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.