OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Valero Texas Open

2018-04-19 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Andrew Landry
Winning score
-17
Field
154
Field strength
-0.025 SG

The 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 19 April 2018. Andrew Landry won at 17 under par (271), 2 strokes ahead of Sean O'Hair. The winning card was 69, 67, 67 and 68, and the win paid $1,116,000. Sean O'Hair and Trey Mullinax tied for second. 154 players started the event. The field averaged -0.025 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.289
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (39th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Charley Hoffman1st64th
Matt Kuchar2nd51st
Zach Johnson3rd5th
Ryan Moore4th7th
Brendan Steele5th30th
Brandt Snedeker6th15th
Kevin Chappell7th30th
Keegan Bradley8th45th
Xander Schauffele9th73rd
Martin Laird10th11th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Joaquin Niemann72nd6th(−66)
Xander Schauffele9th73rd(+64)
Charley Hoffman1st64th(+63)
Bill Haas16th75th(+59)
Brandon Harkins19th75th(+56)
Richy Werenski67th11th(−56)
Brice Garnett26th80th(+54)
Matt Kuchar2nd51st(+49)
Ernie Els75th30th(−45)
Hudson Swafford32nd75th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2017-2018?

Andrew Landry won the 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 19 April 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (271 strokes), posted by Andrew Landry.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

154 players started the 2017-2018 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.