OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

The Open Championship

2022-07-14 · St. Andrews GC (Old Course)

Winner
Cameron Smith
Winning score
-20
Field
156
Field strength
+0.733 SG

The 2021-2022 The Open Championship was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), starting 14 July 2022. Cameron Smith won at 20 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Cameron Young. The winning card was 67, 64, 73 and 64, and the win paid $2,500,000. Cameron Young finished second, and Rory McIlroy was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.733 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 44% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 83 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.354
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (60th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st34th
Rory McIlroy2nd3rd
Xander Schauffele3rd15th
Patrick Cantlay4th8th
Justin Thomas5th53rd
Cameron Smith6th1st
Scottie Scheffler7th21st
Hideki Matsuyama8th68th
Viktor Hovland9th4th
Will Zalatoris10th28th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama8th68th(+60)
Sungjae Im21st81st(+60)
Dean Burmester70th11th(−59)
Min Woo Lee77th21st(−56)
Trey Mullinax75th21st(−54)
Lucas Herbert68th15th(−53)
Justin Thomas5th53rd(+48)
Russell Henley15th62nd(+47)
Sadom Kaewkanjana57th11th(−46)
Thomas Pieters74th28th(−46)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course) in Fife, SCO. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2021-2022?

Cameron Smith won the 2021-2022 The Open Championship at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 The Open Championship played?

The 2021-2022 The Open Championship was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), starting 14 July 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Cameron Smith.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2021-2022 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.