OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

The Open Championship

2023-07-20 · Royal Liverpool

Winner
Brian Harman
Winning score
-13
Field
156
Field strength
+0.711 SG

The 2022-2023 The Open Championship was played at Royal Liverpool, starting 20 July 2023. Brian Harman won at 13 under par (271), 6 strokes ahead of Jason Day. The winning card was 67, 65, 69 and 70, and the win paid $3,000,000. Jason Day, Jon Rahm, Sepp Straka and Tom Kim tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.711 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 42% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.375
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (66th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st6th
Scottie Scheffler2nd23rd
Patrick Cantlay3rd33rd
Xander Schauffele4th17th
Jon Rahm5th2nd
Viktor Hovland6th13th
Cameron Smith7th33rd
Sungjae Im8th20th
Hideki Matsuyama9th13th
Max Homa10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Shubhankar Sharma74th8th(−66)
Matthew Jordan76th10th(−66)
Antoine Rozner73rd20th(−53)
Brooks Koepka18th64th(+46)
Matthew Southgate69th23rd(−46)
Laurie Canter57th17th(−40)
Stewart Cink63rd23rd(−40)
Bryson DeChambeau22nd60th(+38)
Henrik Stenson51st13th(−38)
Alex Fitzpatrick54th17th(−37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Royal Liverpool in Hoylake, Wirral, ENG. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2022-2023?

Brian Harman won the 2022-2023 The Open Championship at Royal Liverpool, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 The Open Championship played?

The 2022-2023 The Open Championship was played at Royal Liverpool, starting 20 July 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 13 under par (271 strokes), posted by Brian Harman.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2022-2023 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.