OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

The Open Championship

2021-07-15 · Royal St. George's GC

Winner
Collin Morikawa
Winning score
-15
Field
156
Field strength
+0.662 SG

The 2020-2021 The Open Championship was played at Royal St. George's GC, starting 15 July 2021. Collin Morikawa won at 15 under par (265), 2 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 67, 64, 68 and 66, and the win paid $2,070,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Jon Rahm and Louis Oosthuizen tied for third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.662 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 52% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.443
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (84th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st26th
Collin Morikawa2nd1st
Justin Thomas3rd40th
Jon Rahm4th3rd
Viktor Hovland5th12th
Daniel Berger6th8th
Abraham Ancer7th59th
Rory McIlroy8th46th
Bryson DeChambeau9th33rd
Webb Simpson10th19th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Dylan Frittelli59th5th(−54)
Abraham Ancer7th59th(+52)
Andy Sullivan75th26th(−49)
Justin Harding67th19th(−48)
Sam Burns29th76th(+47)
Aaron Rai64th19th(−45)
Kevin Kisner31st73rd(+42)
Mackenzie Hughes48th6th(−42)
Joaquin Niemann18th59th(+41)
Robert MacIntyre49th8th(−41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Royal St. George's GC in Sandwich, Kent, ENG. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2020-2021?

Collin Morikawa won the 2020-2021 The Open Championship at Royal St. George's GC, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 The Open Championship played?

The 2020-2021 The Open Championship was played at Royal St. George's GC, starting 15 July 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (265 strokes), posted by Collin Morikawa.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2020-2021 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.