OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

The Open Championship

2019-07-18 · Royal Portrush Golf Club

Winner
Shane Lowry
Winning score
-15
Field
156
Field strength
+0.661 SG

The 2018-2019 The Open Championship was played at Royal Portrush Golf Club, starting 18 July 2019. Shane Lowry won at 15 under par (269), 6 strokes ahead of Tommy Fleetwood. The winning card was 67, 67, 63 and 72, and the win paid $1,935,000. Tommy Fleetwood finished second, and Tony Finau was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.661 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 48% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.234
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (24th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st51st
Justin Rose2nd20th
Patrick Cantlay3rd41st
Justin Thomas4th11th
Webb Simpson5th30th
Brooks Koepka6th4th
Rickie Fowler7th6th
Jon Rahm8th11th
Matt Kuchar9th41st
Paul Casey10th57th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tom Lewis70th11th(−59)
Sanghyun Park73rd16th(−57)
Lee Westwood57th4th(−53)
Lucas Bjerregaard68th16th(−52)
Dustin Johnson1st51st(+50)
Ryan Fox66th16th(−50)
Paul Casey10th57th(+47)
Sergio Garcia21st67th(+46)
Robert MacIntyre52nd6th(−46)
Jim Furyk19th63rd(+44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Royal Portrush Golf Club in Portrush, NIR. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2018-2019?

Shane Lowry won the 2018-2019 The Open Championship at Royal Portrush Golf Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 The Open Championship played?

The 2018-2019 The Open Championship was played at Royal Portrush Golf Club, starting 18 July 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Shane Lowry.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2018-2019 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.