Tournaments / 2017-2018
The Open Championship
2018-07-19 · Carnoustie GC
- Winner
- Francesco Molinari
- Winning score
- -8
- Field
- 156
- Field strength
- +0.624 SG
The 2017-2018 The Open Championship was played at Carnoustie GC, starting 19 July 2018. Francesco Molinari won at 8 under par (276), 2 strokes ahead of Justin Rose. The winning card was 70, 72, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,890,000. Justin Rose, Kevin Kisner, Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.624 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 52% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Kevin Kisner
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 278
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Xander Schauffele
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 278
- Eddie Pepperell
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- Kevin Chappell
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 279
- Tiger Woods
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 279
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 280
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 280
- Tony Finau
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 280
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Ryan Moore
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Thorbjørn Olesen
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 281
- Webb Simpson
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 281
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Alex Noren
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 282
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Erik van Rooyen
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.448
- Top-20 hit rate
- 60%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 20.5
Grade is this event’s percentile (85th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Rose | 1st | 2nd |
| Henrik Stenson | 2nd | 35th |
| Rickie Fowler | 3rd | 28th |
| Paul Casey | 4th | 51st |
| Jordan Spieth | 5th | 9th |
| Francesco Molinari | 6th | 1st |
| Brooks Koepka | 7th | 39th |
| Jason Day | 8th | 17th |
| Tony Finau | 9th | 9th |
| Tiger Woods | 10th | 6th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Willett | 78th | 24th(−54) |
| Keegan Bradley | 28th | 79th(+51) |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | 25th | 74th(+49) |
| Paul Casey | 4th | 51st(+47) |
| Marc Leishman | 16th | 60th(+44) |
| Bernhard Langer | 67th | 24th(−43) |
| Eddie Pepperell | 46th | 6th(−40) |
| Thorbjørn Olesen | 51st | 12th(−39) |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 74th | 35th(−39) |
| Erik van Rooyen | 55th | 17th(−38) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Carnoustie GC in Angus, SCO. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the The Open Championship in 2017-2018?
Where was the 2017-2018 The Open Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 The Open Championship?
How many players were in the The Open Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.