Tournaments / 2016-2017

The Open Championship

2017-07-20 · Royal Birkdale Golf Club

Winner: Jordan Spieth
Winning score: -12
Field: 156
Field strength: +0.692 SG

The 2016-2017 The Open Championship was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, starting 20 July 2017. Jordan Spieth won at 12 under par (268), 3 strokes ahead of Matt Kuchar. The winning card was 65, 69, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,845,000. Matt Kuchar finished second, and Haotong Li was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.692 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 45% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Jordan Spieth	65	69	65	69	268	-12
2	Matt Kuchar	65	71	66	69	271	-9
3	Haotong Li	69	73	69	63	274	-6
T4	Rafa Cabrera Bello	67	73	67	68	275	-5
T4	Rory McIlroy	71	68	69	67	275	-5
T6	Alex Noren	68	72	69	67	276	-4
T6	Branden Grace	70	74	62	70	276	-4
T6	Brooks Koepka	65	72	68	71	276	-4
T6	Marc Leishman	69	76	66	65	276	-4
T6	Matthew Southgate	72	72	67	65	276	-4
T11	Chan Kim	72	68	67	70	277	-3
T11	Henrik Stenson	69	73	65	70	277	-3
T11	Paul Casey	66	77	67	67	277	-3
T14	Austin Connelly	67	72	66	73	278	-2
T14	Chris Wood	71	72	68	67	278	-2
T14	Hideki Matsuyama	68	72	66	72	278	-2
T14	Ian Poulter	67	70	71	70	278	-2
T14	Jason Dufner	73	71	66	68	278	-2
T14	Zach Johnson	75	66	71	66	278	-2
T20	Charley Hoffman	67	73	72	67	279	-1

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.332
Top-20 hit rate: 45%
Top-10 avg model rank: 27.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Rory McIlroy	1st	4th
Dustin Johnson	2nd	54th
Rickie Fowler	3rd	22nd
Jordan Spieth	4th	1st
Hideki Matsuyama	5th	14th
Henrik Stenson	6th	11th
Adam Scott	7th	22nd
Paul Casey	8th	11th
Sergio Garcia	9th	37th
Justin Rose	10th	54th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Haotong Li	77th	3rd(−74)
Austin Connelly	76th	14th(−62)
Dustin Johnson	2nd	54th(+52)
Chris Wood	61st	14th(−47)
Richie Ramsay	68th	22nd(−46)
Richard Bland	67th	22nd(−45)
Chan Kim	55th	11th(−44)
Justin Rose	10th	54th(+44)
Charl Schwartzel	19th	62nd(+43)
Gary Woodland	28th	70th(+42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, ENG. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2016-2017?

Jordan Spieth won the 2016-2017 The Open Championship at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 The Open Championship played?

The 2016-2017 The Open Championship was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, starting 20 July 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2016-2017 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.