Tournaments / 2015-2016
The Open Championship
2016-07-14 · Royal Troon
- Winner
- Henrik Stenson
- Winning score
- -20
- Field
- 156
- Field strength
- +0.567 SG
The 2015-2016 The Open Championship was played at Royal Troon, starting 14 July 2016. Henrik Stenson won at 20 under par (264), 3 strokes ahead of Phil Mickelson. The winning card was 68, 65, 68 and 63, and the win paid $1,549,590. Phil Mickelson finished second, and J.B. Holmes was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.567 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 45% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 63
- Total
- 264
- Phil Mickelson
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 267
- J.B. Holmes
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Steve Stricker
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 280
- Sergio Garcia
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 280
- Andrew Johnston
- Pos
- 8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 281
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 282
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 282
- Søren Kjeldsen
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 282
- Andy Sullivan
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 76
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 283
- Emiliano Grillo
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 283
- Gary Woodland
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 283
- Matthew Southgate
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 283
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Zach Johnson
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Charl Schwartzel
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 76
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Miguel Angel Jiménez
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 284
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 81 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.315
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 24.6
Grade is this event’s percentile (47th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 5th |
| Jordan Spieth | 2nd | 30th |
| Henrik Stenson | 3rd | 1st |
| Jason Day | 4th | 22nd |
| Justin Rose | 5th | 22nd |
| Bubba Watson | 6th | 39th |
| Dustin Johnson | 7th | 9th |
| Matt Kuchar | 8th | 46th |
| Rickie Fowler | 9th | 46th |
| Jim Furyk | 10th | 59th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Tyrrell Hatton | 68th | 5th(−63) |
| Andrew Johnston | 69th | 8th(−61) |
| Miguel Angel Jiménez | 79th | 18th(−61) |
| Branden Grace | 15th | 72nd(+57) |
| Andy Sullivan | 65th | 12th(−53) |
| Thongchai Jaidee | 73rd | 22nd(−51) |
| Darren Clarke | 81st | 30th(−51) |
| Jim Furyk | 10th | 59th(+49) |
| Charley Hoffman | 30th | 77th(+47) |
| Matthew Southgate | 58th | 12th(−46) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Royal Troon in Troon, South Ayrshire, SCO. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the The Open Championship in 2015-2016?
Where was the 2015-2016 The Open Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 The Open Championship?
How many players were in the The Open Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.