OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

The Open Championship

2015-07-16 · St. Andrews GC (Old Course)

Winner
Zach Johnson
Winning score
-15
Field
156
Field strength
+0.587 SG

The 2014-2015 The Open Championship was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), starting 16 July 2015. Zach Johnson won at 15 under par (273). The winning card was 66, 71, 70 and 66, and the win paid $1,794,690. Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.587 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 45% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.273
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (34th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Scott1st10th
Sergio Garcia2nd6th
Jim Furyk3rd30th
Dustin Johnson4th49th
Hideki Matsuyama5th18th
Justin Rose6th6th
Henrik Stenson7th40th
Jordan Spieth8th4th
Matt Kuchar9th58th
Jason Day10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Niebrugge73rd6th(−67)
Paul Casey17th74th(+57)
Padraig Harrington76th20th(−56)
Ollie Schniederjans65th12th(−53)
Marcus Fraser72nd20th(−52)
Greg Owen71st20th(−51)
Retief Goosen70th20th(−50)
Matt Kuchar9th58th(+49)
Kevin Na12th58th(+46)
Dustin Johnson4th49th(+45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course) in Fife, SCO. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2014-2015?

Zach Johnson won the 2014-2015 The Open Championship at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 The Open Championship played?

The 2014-2015 The Open Championship was played at St. Andrews GC (Old Course), starting 16 July 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Zach Johnson.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2014-2015 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.