OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

The Honda Classic

2018-02-22 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-8
Field
144
Field strength
+0.157 SG

The 2017-2018 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 22 February 2018. Justin Thomas won at 8 under par (272). The winning card was 67, 72, 65 and 68, and the win paid $1,188,000. Luke List finished second, and Alex Noren was third. 144 players started the event. The field averaged +0.157 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.216
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (20th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st1st
Sergio Garcia2nd33rd
Louis Oosthuizen3rd24th
Daniel Berger4th29th
Webb Simpson5th5th
Rory McIlroy6th59th
Gary Woodland7th49th
Lucas Glover8th17th
Adam Scott9th13th
Russell Henley10th24th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kelly Kraft68th8th(−60)
Dominic Bozzelli71st13th(−58)
Greg Chalmers73rd17th(−56)
Rory McIlroy6th59th(+53)
Derek Fathauer64th13th(−51)
Dylan Frittelli60th11th(−49)
Tom Lovelady65th17th(−48)
Tyler Duncan72nd24th(−48)
Jhonattan Vegas27th72nd(+45)
Ollie Schniederjans21st64th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2017-2018?

Justin Thomas won the 2017-2018 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 8 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 The Honda Classic played?

The 2017-2018 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 22 February 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 8 under par (272 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

144 players started the 2017-2018 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.