OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

The Honda Classic

2017-02-23 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Rickie Fowler
Winning score
-12
Field
146
Field strength
+0.073 SG

The 2016-2017 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 23 February 2017. Rickie Fowler won at 12 under par (268), 4 strokes ahead of Gary Woodland. The winning card was 66, 66, 65 and 71, and the win paid $1,152,000. Gary Woodland and Morgan Hoffmann tied for second. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.073 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.348
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (58th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Scott1st14th
Rickie Fowler2nd1st
Paul Casey3rd11th
Sergio Garcia4th14th
Louis Oosthuizen5th21st
Zach Johnson6th27th
Brendan Steele7th14th
Gary Woodland8th2nd
Lucas Glover9th21st
Russell Henley10th43rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Morgan Hoffmann70th2nd(−68)
Chad Collins69th4th(−65)
Wesley Bryan47th4th(−43)
Brandon Hagy64th21st(−43)
Charles Howell III12th52nd(+40)
Harris English21st60th(+39)
Mark Wilson65th27th(−38)
Matt Fitzpatrick31st68th(+37)
Tyrone Van Aswegen63rd27th(−36)
Scott Stallings55th21st(−34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2016-2017?

Rickie Fowler won the 2016-2017 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 The Honda Classic played?

The 2016-2017 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 23 February 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Rickie Fowler.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

146 players started the 2016-2017 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.