Tournaments / 2015-2016

The Honda Classic

2016-02-25 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner: Adam Scott
Winning score: -9
Field: 146
Field strength: +0.139 SG

The 2015-2016 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 25 February 2016. Adam Scott won at 9 under par (271), 1 stroke ahead of Sergio Garcia. The winning card was 70, 65, 66 and 70, and the win paid $1,098,000. Sergio Garcia finished second, and Blayne Barber and Justin Thomas tied for third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.139 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Adam Scott	70	65	66	70	271	-9
2	Sergio Garcia	65	69	67	71	272	-8
T3	Blayne Barber	70	66	69	70	275	-5
T3	Justin Thomas	69	69	68	69	275	-5
5	Graeme McDowell	71	69	67	69	276	-4
T6	Rickie Fowler	66	66	74	71	277	-3
T6	Vijay Singh	69	70	68	70	277	-3
T8	Billy Horschel	73	70	66	69	278	-2
T8	William McGirt	66	72	73	67	278	-2
T10	John Senden	71	66	71	71	279	-1
T10	Luke List	73	65	70	71	279	-1
T10	Scott Brown	70	67	70	72	279	-1
T10	Sung Kang	71	69	71	68	279	-1
T14	Andrew Loupe	71	68	74	67	280	E
T14	Brendan Steele	74	68	70	68	280	E
T14	Bronson Burgoon	72	71	67	70	280	E
T14	Camilo Villegas	72	69	69	70	280	E
T14	John Huh	71	72	71	66	280	E
T14	Sam Saunders	69	74	67	70	280	E
T14	Sean O'Hair	69	72	69	70	280	E

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade

Rank correlation: +0.155
Top-20 hit rate: 35%
Top-10 avg model rank: 23.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (9th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Paul Casey	1st	43rd
Rickie Fowler	2nd	6th
Ryan Palmer	3rd	26th
Adam Scott	4th	1st
Brooks Koepka	5th	26th
Justin Thomas	6th	3rd
Sergio Garcia	7th	2nd
Phil Mickelson	8th	37th
Russell Knox	9th	26th
Kevin Kisner	10th	70th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Blayne Barber	68th	3rd(−65)
Kevin Kisner	10th	70th(+60)
Sam Saunders	73rd	14th(−59)
Francesco Molinari	15th	65th(+50)
Chesson Hadley	70th	21st(−49)
Si Woo Kim	26th	74th(+48)
Jason Dufner	14th	61st(+47)
Vijay Singh	52nd	6th(−46)
Luke Donald	16th	61st(+45)
Emiliano Grillo	29th	74th(+45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2015-2016?

Adam Scott won the 2015-2016 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 The Honda Classic played?

The 2015-2016 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 25 February 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Adam Scott.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

146 players started the 2015-2016 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.