OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

The Honda Classic

2019-02-28 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Keith Mitchell
Winning score
-9
Field
142
Field strength
+0.041 SG

The 2018-2019 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2019. Keith Mitchell won at 9 under par (271), 1 stroke ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 68, 66, 70 and 67, and the win paid $1,224,000. Brooks Koepka and Rickie Fowler tied for second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.041 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.205
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (17th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st30th
Rickie Fowler2nd2nd
Webb Simpson3rd36th
Daniel Berger4th36th
Brooks Koepka5th2nd
Sergio Garcia6th9th
Gary Woodland7th36th
Byeong Hun An8th36th
Zach Johnson9th59th
Billy Horschel10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Vijay Singh79th6th(−73)
Lucas Bjerregaard82nd12th(−70)
Stewart Cink13th75th(+62)
Graeme McDowell20th82nd(+62)
K.H. Lee69th7th(−62)
Austin Cook14th75th(+61)
Ernie Els75th20th(−55)
Harris English64th12th(−52)
Max Homa71st20th(−51)
Zach Johnson9th59th(+50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2018-2019?

Keith Mitchell won the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic played?

The 2018-2019 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Keith Mitchell.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

142 players started the 2018-2019 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.