OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Sony Open in Hawaii

2017-01-12 · Waialae Country Club

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-27
Field
141
Field strength
+0.083 SG

The 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii was played at Waialae Country Club, starting 12 January 2017. Justin Thomas won at 27 under par (253), 7 strokes ahead of Justin Rose. The winning card was 59, 64, 65 and 65, and the win paid $1,080,000. Justin Rose finished second, and Jordan Spieth was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.083 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.488
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
14.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Russell Knox1st11th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd27th
Jordan Spieth3rd3rd
Justin Thomas4th1st
Daniel Berger5th45th
Gary Woodland6th6th
Justin Rose7th2nd
Kevin Na8th36th
Zach Johnson9th6th
Bill Haas10th13th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Pat Perez12th69th(+57)
Brian Gay69th13th(−56)
Billy Horschel15th68th(+53)
Ollie Schniederjans78th27th(−51)
Chad Campbell24th74th(+50)
Peter Malnati75th27th(−48)
Ryan Blaum28th74th(+46)
Michael Thompson64th20th(−44)
Hideto Tanihara70th27th(−43)
Scott Piercy16th57th(+41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sony Open in Hawaii in 2016-2017?

Justin Thomas won the 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club, finishing 27 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii played?

The 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii was played at Waialae Country Club, starting 12 January 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii?

The winning score was 27 under par (253 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the Sony Open in Hawaii field?

141 players started the 2016-2017 Sony Open in Hawaii. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.