OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Sony Open in Hawaii

2016-01-14 · Waialae Country Club

Winner
Fabián Gómez
Winning score
-20
Field
138
Field strength
+0.053 SG

The 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii was played at Waialae Country Club, starting 14 January 2016. Fabián Gómez won at 20 under par (260). The winning card was 69, 64, 65 and 62, and the win paid $1,044,000. Brandt Snedeker finished second, and Zac Blair was third. 138 players started the event. The field averaged +0.053 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 138. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 85 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.410
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (76th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st13th
Zach Johnson2nd9th
Jimmy Walker3rd13th
Ryan Palmer4th13th
Kevin Na5th28th
Francesco Molinari6th33rd
Adam Scott7th56th
Danny Lee8th33rd
Steve Stricker9th64th
Brandt Snedeker10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Greg Owen69th5th(−64)
Tim Clark74th13th(−61)
Steve Stricker9th64th(+55)
Kyle Stanley68th13th(−55)
Fabián Gómez54th1st(−53)
Jim Herman34th84th(+50)
Robert Garrigus83rd33rd(−50)
Adam Scott7th56th(+49)
Tony Finau15th64th(+49)
David Hearn26th75th(+49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sony Open in Hawaii in 2015-2016?

Fabián Gómez won the 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii at Waialae Country Club, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii played?

The 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii was played at Waialae Country Club, starting 14 January 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii?

The winning score was 20 under par (260 strokes), posted by Fabián Gómez.

How many players were in the Sony Open in Hawaii field?

138 players started the 2015-2016 Sony Open in Hawaii. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.