OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

Sentry Tournament of Champions

2022-01-06 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Cameron Smith
Winning score
-34
Field
39
Field strength
+0.593 SG

The 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 6 January 2022. Cameron Smith won at 34 under par (258), 1 stroke ahead of Jon Rahm. The winning card was 65, 64, 64 and 65, and the win paid $1,476,000. Jon Rahm finished second, and Matt Jones was third. 39 players started the event. The field averaged +0.593 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 39. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 38 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.439
Top-19 hit rate
63%
Top-10 avg model rank
12.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (83rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jon Rahm1st2nd
Justin Thomas2nd5th
Patrick Cantlay3rd4th
Daniel Berger4th5th
Collin Morikawa5th5th
Xander Schauffele6th12th
Viktor Hovland7th30th
Bryson DeChambeau8th25th
Abraham Ancer9th35th
Cameron Smith10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Kisner35th8th(−27)
Abraham Ancer9th35th(+26)
Matt Jones29th3rd(−26)
Viktor Hovland7th30th(+23)
Cam Davis32nd10th(−22)
Jason Kokrak20th38th(+18)
Bryson DeChambeau8th25th(+17)
Marc Leishman26th10th(−16)
Harris English15th30th(+15)
Garrick Higgo38th25th(−13)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2021-2022?

Cameron Smith won the 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 34 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions played?

The 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 6 January 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 34 under par (258 strokes), posted by Cameron Smith.

How many players were in the Sentry Tournament of Champions field?

39 players started the 2021-2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.