OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Sentry Tournament of Champions

2021-01-07 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Harris English
Winning score
-25
Field
43
Field strength
+0.603 SG

The 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 7 January 2021. Harris English won at 25 under par (267). The winning card was 65, 67, 66 and 69, and the win paid $1,340,000. Joaquin Niemann finished second, and Justin Thomas was third. 43 players started the event. The field averaged +0.603 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 43. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 42 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.522
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
11.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (96th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st3rd
Dustin Johnson2nd11th
Jon Rahm3rd7th
Xander Schauffele4th5th
Webb Simpson5th17th
Hideki Matsuyama6th41st
Patrick Reed7th21st
Bryson DeChambeau8th7th
Harris English9th1st
Patrick Cantlay10th13th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama6th41st(+35)
Viktor Hovland11th31st(+20)
Ryan Palmer24th4th(−20)
Sergio Garcia30th11th(−19)
Tony Finau13th31st(+18)
Joaquin Niemann18th2nd(−16)
Jason Kokrak19th35th(+16)
Sungjae Im21st5th(−16)
Michael Thompson37th21st(−16)
Patrick Reed7th21st(+14)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2020-2021?

Harris English won the 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions played?

The 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 7 January 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 25 under par (267 strokes), posted by Harris English.

How many players were in the Sentry Tournament of Champions field?

43 players started the 2020-2021 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.