OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

Sentry Tournament of Champions

2020-01-02 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-14
Field
35
Field strength
+0.384 SG

The 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 2 January 2020. Justin Thomas won at 14 under par (278). The winning card was 67, 73, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,340,000. Patrick Reed and Xander Schauffele tied for second. 35 players started the event. The field averaged +0.384 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 97% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 35. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 34 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.704
Top-17 hit rate
71%
Top-10 avg model rank
6.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (100th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st1st
Jon Rahm2nd10th
Patrick Cantlay3rd4th
Rickie Fowler4th5th
Xander Schauffele5th2nd
Dustin Johnson6th7th
Patrick Reed7th2nd
Paul Casey8th19th
Gary Woodland9th7th
Matt Kuchar10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Na15th32nd(+17)
Matthew Wolff27th11th(−16)
Dylan Frittelli17th31st(+14)
Cameron Champ28th14th(−14)
Chez Reavie14th27th(+13)
Paul Casey8th19th(+11)
Tyler Duncan30th19th(−11)
Jon Rahm2nd10th(+8)
Brendon Todd21st29th(+8)
Max Homa33rd25th(−8)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2019-2020?

Justin Thomas won the 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions played?

The 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 2 January 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 14 under par (278 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the Sentry Tournament of Champions field?

35 players started the 2019-2020 Sentry Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.