Tournaments / 2021-2022

RBC Canadian Open

2022-06-09 · St. George's G&CC

Winner: Rory McIlroy
Winning score: -19
Field: 135
Field strength: +0.007 SG

The 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open was played at St. George's G&CC, starting 9 June 2022. Rory McIlroy won at 19 under par (261), 2 strokes ahead of Tony Finau. The winning card was 66, 68, 65 and 62, and the win paid $1,566,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Justin Thomas was third. 135 players started the event. The field averaged +0.007 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 76% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 135. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Rory McIlroy	66	68	65	62	261	-19
2	Tony Finau	66	71	62	64	263	-17
3	Justin Thomas	69	69	63	64	265	-15
T4	Justin Rose	69	70	67	60	266	-14
T4	Sam Burns	67	69	65	65	266	-14
6	Corey Conners	71	69	66	62	268	-12
T7	Chris Kirk	69	69	66	66	270	-10
T7	Keith Mitchell	67	67	70	66	270	-10
T7	Wyndham Clark	63	70	68	69	270	-10
T10	Danny Lee	68	69	69	65	271	-9
T10	Matt Fitzpatrick	64	70	70	67	271	-9
T10	Shane Lowry	67	69	69	66	271	-9
T13	Aaron Rai	69	70	67	66	272	-8
T13	Austin Cook	71	64	68	69	272	-8
T13	Brendon Todd	69	69	68	66	272	-8
T13	Harold Varner III	65	72	68	67	272	-8
T13	Kelly Kraft	69	69	70	64	272	-8
T18	Doug Ghim	65	71	68	69	273	-7
T18	Patrick Rodgers	67	69	72	65	273	-7
T18	Scottie Scheffler	69	67	71	66	273	-7

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade

Rank correlation: +0.615
Top-20 hit rate: 70%
Top-10 avg model rank: 10.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (99th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Cameron Smith	1st	48th
Justin Thomas	2nd	3rd
Rory McIlroy	3rd	1st
Sam Burns	4th	4th
Corey Conners	5th	6th
Scottie Scheffler	6th	18th
Chris Kirk	7th	7th
Shane Lowry	8th	10th
Matt Fitzpatrick	9th	10th
Tony Finau	10th	2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Austin Cook	61st	13th(−48)
Cameron Smith	1st	48th(+47)
Kelly Kraft	58th	13th(−45)
Jonas Blixt	68th	28th(−40)
Jhonattan Vegas	16th	53rd(+37)
Dylan Frittelli	27th	61st(+34)
Jim Knous	59th	25th(−34)
Danny Lee	41st	10th(−31)
Wyndham Clark	35th	7th(−28)
Mark Hubbard	19th	44th(+25)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at St. George's G&CC in Toronto, ON, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2021-2022?

Rory McIlroy won the 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open at St. George's G&CC, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open was played at St. George's G&CC, starting 9 June 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 19 under par (261 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

135 players started the 2021-2022 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.