OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

RBC Canadian Open

2023-06-08 · Oakdale Golf & Country Club

Winner
Nick Taylor
Winning score
-17
Field
144
Field strength
-0.116 SG

The 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open was played at Oakdale Golf & Country Club, starting 8 June 2023. Nick Taylor won at 17 under par (271). The winning card was 75, 67, 63 and 66, and the win paid $1,620,000. Tommy Fleetwood finished second, and Aaron Rai, C.T. Pan and Tyrrell Hatton tied for third. 144 players started the event. The field averaged -0.116 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.490
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
12.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st9th
Shane Lowry2nd43rd
Matt Fitzpatrick3rd20th
Cameron Young4th57th
Corey Conners5th20th
Tommy Fleetwood6th2nd
Justin Rose7th8th
Tyrrell Hatton8th3rd
Matt Kuchar9th20th
Brendon Todd10th34th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cameron Young4th57th(+53)
Harrison Endycott60th12th(−48)
Taylor Pendrith18th65th(+47)
Akshay Bhatia22nd68th(+46)
Harry Higgs58th12th(−46)
Ted Potter, Jr.70th25th(−45)
Carl Yuan62nd18th(−44)
Shane Lowry2nd43rd(+41)
Jonathan Byrd49th12th(−37)
Scott Piercy24th57th(+33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Oakdale Golf & Country Club in Toronto, Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2022-2023?

Nick Taylor won the 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open at Oakdale Golf & Country Club, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open was played at Oakdale Golf & Country Club, starting 8 June 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (271 strokes), posted by Nick Taylor.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

144 players started the 2022-2023 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.