OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

RBC Canadian Open

2019-06-06 · Hamilton Golf & Country Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-22
Field
142
Field strength
+0.018 SG

The 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open was played at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, starting 6 June 2019. Rory McIlroy won at 22 under par (258), 7 strokes ahead of Shane Lowry. The winning card was 67, 66, 64 and 61, and the win paid $1,368,000. Shane Lowry and Webb Simpson tied for second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.018 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 76% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.210
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (18th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st20th
Justin Thomas2nd20th
Webb Simpson3rd2nd
Rory McIlroy4th1st
Brooks Koepka5th50th
Matt Kuchar6th4th
Henrik Stenson7th8th
Keegan Bradley8th44th
Jim Furyk9th27th
Daniel Berger10th35th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Wes Roach64th11th(−53)
Bubba Watson12th63rd(+51)
José de Jesús Rodríguez65th14th(−51)
Stephan Jaeger60th14th(−46)
Brooks Koepka5th50th(+45)
Alex Noren18th63rd(+45)
Brian Gay20th63rd(+43)
Jonathan Byrd57th14th(−43)
Cameron Tringale52nd11th(−41)
Joey Garber67th27th(−40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Hamilton Golf & Country Club in Hamilton, ON, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2018-2019?

Rory McIlroy won the 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open was played at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, starting 6 June 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 22 under par (258 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

142 players started the 2018-2019 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.