Tournaments / 2015-2016
Quicken Loans National
2016-06-23 · Congressional CC (Blue)
- Winner
- Billy Hurley III
- Winning score
- -17
- Field
- 119
- Field strength
- +0.054 SG
The 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 23 June 2016. Billy Hurley III won at 17 under par (267), 3 strokes ahead of Vijay Singh. The winning card was 66, 65, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,242,000. Vijay Singh finished second, and Bill Haas and Jon Rahm tied for third. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.054 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Billy Hurley III
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 267
- Vijay Singh
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 270
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 271
- Ernie Els
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 272
- Webb Simpson
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 274
- Harold Varner III
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 276
- Robert Garrigus
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Rob Oppenheim
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 277
- Smylie Kaufman
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Aaron Baddeley
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 278
- Andres Gonzales
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Chris Kirk
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 278
- David Hearn
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Kevin Streelman
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Nick Taylor
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Derek Fathauer
- Pos
- T19
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- John Huh
- Pos
- T19
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 279
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.082
- Top-20 hit rate
- 25%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 35.8
Grade is this event’s percentile (3rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rickie Fowler | 1st | 44th |
| Jim Furyk | 2nd | 21st |
| Brendan Steele | 3rd | 39th |
| Patrick Reed | 4th | 39th |
| Charley Hoffman | 5th | 57th |
| Marc Leishman | 6th | 39th |
| Bill Haas | 7th | 3rd |
| Justin Thomas | 8th | 12th |
| Kevin Chappell | 9th | 44th |
| Webb Simpson | 10th | 6th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gonzales | 76th | 12th(−64) |
| Tony Finau | 14th | 74th(+60) |
| Robert Garrigus | 68th | 8th(−60) |
| Charles Howell III | 16th | 75th(+59) |
| Billy Hurley III | 58th | 1st(−57) |
| Ernie Els | 60th | 5th(−55) |
| Rob Oppenheim | 64th | 10th(−54) |
| Charley Hoffman | 5th | 57th(+52) |
| Sam Saunders | 69th | 21st(−48) |
| Jamie Lovemark | 15th | 62nd(+47) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Congressional CC (Blue) in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Quicken Loans National in 2015-2016?
Where was the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National played?
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National?
How many players were in the Quicken Loans National field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.