OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Quicken Loans National

2015-07-30 · Robert Trent Jones GC

Winner
Troy Merritt
Winning score
-18
Field
120
Field strength
+0.041 SG

The 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National was played at Robert Trent Jones GC, starting 30 July 2015. Troy Merritt won at 18 under par (266), 3 strokes ahead of Rickie Fowler. The winning card was 70, 68, 61 and 67, and the win paid $1,206,000. Rickie Fowler finished second, and David Lingmerth was third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.041 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.356
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (61st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st4th
Rickie Fowler2nd2nd
Russell Knox3rd39th
Jimmy Walker4th21st
Bill Haas5th4th
Will Wilcox6th21st
Shawn Stefani7th52nd
George McNeill8th30th
Brendan Steele9th30th
Harris English10th46th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Brian Davis71st15th(−56)
Whee Kim64th11th(−53)
Brice Garnett70th21st(−49)
Greg Owen63rd15th(−48)
Troy Merritt48th1st(−47)
Shawn Stefani7th52nd(+45)
S.Y. Noh30th75th(+45)
Ryo Ishikawa55th10th(−45)
Brendon de Jonge18th59th(+41)
William McGirt23rd63rd(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Robert Trent Jones GC in Gainesville, Virginia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Quicken Loans National in 2014-2015?

Troy Merritt won the 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National at Robert Trent Jones GC, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National played?

The 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National was played at Robert Trent Jones GC, starting 30 July 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Troy Merritt.

How many players were in the Quicken Loans National field?

120 players started the 2014-2015 Quicken Loans National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.