OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Quicken Loans National

2014-06-26 · Congressional CC (Blue)

Winner
Justin Rose
Winning score
-4
Field
121
Field strength
+0.094 SG

The 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 26 June 2014. Justin Rose won at 4 under par (280). The winning card was 74, 65, 71 and 70, and the win paid $1,170,000. Shawn Stefani finished second, and Ben Martin and Charley Hoffman tied for third. 121 players started the event. The field averaged +0.094 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 121. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.271
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (33rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st11th
Justin Rose2nd1st
Bill Haas3rd30th
Brandt Snedeker4th21st
Webb Simpson5th30th
Hunter Mahan6th24th
K.J. Choi7th64th
Ryan Palmer8th55th
Gary Woodland9th46th
Charley Hoffman10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hudson Swafford71st11th(−60)
K.J. Choi7th64th(+57)
Andres Romero58th5th(−53)
Shawn Stefani53rd2nd(−51)
Brady Watt75th24th(−51)
Ryan Palmer8th55th(+47)
Rory Sabbatini28th75th(+47)
Steven Bowditch66th21st(−45)
Tyrone Van Aswegen65th21st(−44)
Robert Streb34th74th(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Congressional CC (Blue) in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Quicken Loans National in 2013-2014?

Justin Rose won the 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National at Congressional CC (Blue), finishing 4 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National played?

The 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 26 June 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National?

The winning score was 4 under par (280 strokes), posted by Justin Rose.

How many players were in the Quicken Loans National field?

121 players started the 2013-2014 Quicken Loans National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.