Tournaments / 2013

AT&T National

2013-06-27 · Congressional CC (Blue)

Winner: Bill Haas
Winning score: -12
Field: 133
Field strength: +0.062 SG

The 2013 AT&T National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 27 June 2013. Bill Haas won at 12 under par (272), 3 strokes ahead of Roberto Castro. The winning card was 70, 68, 68 and 66, and the win paid $1,170,000. Roberto Castro finished second, and D.H. Lee and Jason Kokrak tied for third. 133 players started the event. The field averaged +0.062 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 95% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 133. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Bill Haas	70	68	68	66	272	-12
2	Roberto Castro	66	69	71	69	275	-9
T3	D.H. Lee	71	66	75	64	276	-8
T3	Jason Kokrak	71	66	70	69	276	-8
5	Stewart Cink	70	69	71	67	277	-7
6	Jordan Spieth	69	66	74	69	278	-6
7	Charlie Wi	72	71	65	71	279	-5
T8	Brandt Snedeker	69	71	69	71	280	-4
T8	Brian Davis	70	72	71	67	280	-4
T8	Graham DeLaet	68	72	71	69	280	-4
T8	James Driscoll	69	69	68	74	280	-4
T8	Morgan Hoffmann	73	68	69	70	280	-4
T13	Andres Romero	70	66	70	75	281	-3
T13	Brendon Todd	74	67	68	72	281	-3
T13	Ángel Cabrera	70	70	72	69	281	-3
T16	Brendan Steele	73	71	66	72	282	-2
T16	Camilo Villegas	71	70	71	70	282	-2
T16	Chad Campbell	72	70	69	71	282	-2
T16	Gary Woodland	70	69	72	71	282	-2
T16	Richard Lee	74	68	71	69	282	-2

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade

Rank correlation: +0.061
Top-20 hit rate: 15%
Top-10 avg model rank: 32.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (2nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Adam Scott	1st	57th
Jason Day	2nd	21st
Jim Furyk	3rd	44th
Brandt Snedeker	4th	8th
Billy Horschel	5th	61st
Ryan Palmer	6th	34th
Rickie Fowler	7th	21st
Pat Perez	8th	76th
Nick Watney	9th	61st
Robert Garrigus	10th	64th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Pat Perez	8th	76th(+68)
D.H. Lee	65th	3rd(−62)
Brendon Todd	75th	13th(−62)
John Senden	12th	72nd(+60)
Adam Scott	1st	57th(+56)
Billy Horschel	5th	61st(+56)
Robert Garrigus	10th	64th(+54)
Andres Romero	66th	13th(−53)
Fabián Gómez	74th	21st(−53)
Nick Watney	9th	61st(+52)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Congressional CC (Blue) in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T National in 2013?

Bill Haas won the 2013 AT&T National at Congressional CC (Blue), finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2013 AT&T National played?

The 2013 AT&T National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 27 June 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 AT&T National?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by Bill Haas.

How many players were in the AT&T National field?

133 players started the 2013 AT&T National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.