Tournaments / 2020-2021
PGA Championship
2021-05-20 · Ocean Course at Kiawah Island
- Winner
- Phil Mickelson
- Winning score
- -6
- Field
- 156
- Field strength
- +0.53 SG
The 2020-2021 PGA Championship was played at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, starting 20 May 2021. Phil Mickelson won at 6 under par (282), 2 strokes ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 70, 69, 70 and 73, and the win paid $2,160,000. Brooks Koepka and Louis Oosthuizen tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.53 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 65% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Phil Mickelson
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Brooks Koepka
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 284
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Harry Higgs
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 286
- Padraig Harrington
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 286
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 286
- Shane Lowry
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 286
- Abraham Ancer
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 76
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 287
- Collin Morikawa
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 287
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 287
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 287
- Kevin Streelman
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 287
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 76
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 287
- Scottie Scheffler
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 287
- Tony Finau
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 287
- Will Zalatoris
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 287
- Aaron Wise
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 79
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 288
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 288
- Corey Conners
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 288
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 288
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 81 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.386
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 31.8
Grade is this event’s percentile (69th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Rahm | 1st | 8th |
| Webb Simpson | 2nd | 30th |
| Rory McIlroy | 3rd | 49th |
| Viktor Hovland | 4th | 30th |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 5th | 38th |
| Patrick Reed | 6th | 17th |
| Daniel Berger | 7th | 75th |
| Collin Morikawa | 8th | 8th |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 9th | 38th |
| Abraham Ancer | 10th | 8th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Padraig Harrington | 75th | 4th(−71) |
| Daniel Berger | 7th | 75th(+68) |
| Phil Mickelson | 68th | 1st(−67) |
| Harry Higgs | 63rd | 4th(−59) |
| Jason Scrivener | 73rd | 23rd(−50) |
| Chan Kim | 72nd | 23rd(−49) |
| Rickie Fowler | 56th | 8th(−48) |
| Bubba Watson | 33rd | 80th(+47) |
| Rory McIlroy | 3rd | 49th(+46) |
| Russell Henley | 27th | 71st(+44) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in Kiawah Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the PGA Championship in 2020-2021?
Where was the 2020-2021 PGA Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 PGA Championship?
How many players were in the PGA Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.