OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

PGA Championship

2020-08-06 · TPC Harding Park

Winner
Collin Morikawa
Winning score
-13
Field
156
Field strength
+0.446 SG

The 2019-2020 PGA Championship was played at TPC Harding Park, starting 6 August 2020. Collin Morikawa won at 13 under par (267), 2 strokes ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 69, 69, 65 and 64, and the win paid $1,980,000. Dustin Johnson and Paul Casey tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.446 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 69% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.352
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (59th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st33rd
Justin Thomas2nd37th
Patrick Cantlay3rd43rd
Webb Simpson4th37th
Jon Rahm5th13th
Hideki Matsuyama6th22nd
Xander Schauffele7th10th
Brooks Koepka8th29th
Gary Woodland9th58th
Bryson DeChambeau10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cameron Champ69th10th(−59)
Si Woo Kim71st13th(−58)
Haotong Li74th17th(−57)
Victor Perez79th22nd(−57)
Gary Woodland9th58th(+49)
Chez Reavie26th75th(+49)
Matthew Wolff53rd4th(−49)
J.T. Poston28th75th(+47)
Joel Dahmen52nd10th(−42)
Patrick Cantlay3rd43rd(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2019-2020?

Collin Morikawa won the 2019-2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 PGA Championship played?

The 2019-2020 PGA Championship was played at TPC Harding Park, starting 6 August 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 13 under par (267 strokes), posted by Collin Morikawa.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2019-2020 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.