OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

BMW Championship

2018-09-06 · Aronimink Golf Club

Winner
Keegan Bradley
Winning score
-20
Field
70
Field strength
+0.767 SG

The 2017-2018 BMW Championship was played at Aronimink Golf Club, starting 6 September 2018. Keegan Bradley won at 20 under par (260). The winning card was 66, 64, 66 and 64, and the win paid $1,620,000. Justin Rose finished second, and Billy Horschel and Xander Schauffele tied for third. 70 players started the event. The field averaged +0.767 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 70. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 68 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.398
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (73rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st24th
Rickie Fowler2nd8th
Justin Rose3rd2nd
Justin Thomas4th12th
Jordan Spieth5th55th
Hideki Matsuyama6th15th
Brooks Koepka7th19th
Tiger Woods8th6th
Rory McIlroy9th5th
Tony Finau10th8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth5th55th(+50)
Andrew Putnam63rd16th(−47)
Billy Horschel46th3rd(−43)
Patrick Cantlay13th55th(+42)
Louis Oosthuizen19th58th(+39)
Jason Kokrak57th19th(−38)
Phil Mickelson22nd58th(+36)
Emiliano Grillo26th61st(+35)
Brandt Snedeker33rd67th(+34)
Xander Schauffele37th3rd(−34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the BMW Championship in 2017-2018?

Keegan Bradley won the 2017-2018 BMW Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 BMW Championship played?

The 2017-2018 BMW Championship was played at Aronimink Golf Club, starting 6 September 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 BMW Championship?

The winning score was 20 under par (260 strokes), posted by Keegan Bradley.

How many players were in the BMW Championship field?

70 players started the 2017-2018 BMW Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.