Tournaments / 2013

Zurich Classic of New Orleans

2013-04-25 · TPC Louisiana

Winner: Billy Horschel
Winning score: -20
Field: 149
Field strength: -0.048 SG

The 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans was played at TPC Louisiana, starting 25 April 2013. Billy Horschel won at 20 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of D.A. Points. The winning card was 67, 71, 66 and 64, and the win paid $1,188,000. D.A. Points finished second, and Kyle Stanley was third. 149 players started the event. The field averaged -0.048 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 149. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Billy Horschel	67	71	66	64	268	-20
2	D.A. Points	66	68	70	65	269	-19
3	Kyle Stanley	72	67	65	67	271	-17
T4	Bobby Gates	67	70	70	66	273	-15
T4	Lucas Glover	65	67	70	71	273	-15
T6	Boo Weekley	65	68	73	68	274	-14
T6	Harris English	68	70	69	67	274	-14
T8	Aaron Watkins	71	69	70	65	275	-13
T8	D.H. Lee	70	70	68	67	275	-13
T8	Jimmy Walker	67	71	66	71	275	-13
T8	John Peterson	71	67	70	67	275	-13
T8	Kevin Stadler	68	72	65	70	275	-13
T8	Luke Guthrie	67	71	69	68	275	-13
T8	Nicolas Colsaerts	70	68	70	67	275	-13
T15	Bubba Watson	73	65	72	66	276	-12
T15	Ernie Els	67	69	72	68	276	-12
T15	Henrik Norlander	71	70	65	70	276	-12
T15	Justin Rose	68	69	70	69	276	-12
T15	Nick Watney	69	69	69	69	276	-12
T21	Brandt Jobe	70	70	69	68	277	-11

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade

Rank correlation: +0.237
Top-20 hit rate: 50%
Top-10 avg model rank: 28.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (25th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Jason Dufner	1st	42nd
Justin Rose	2nd	15th
Rickie Fowler	3rd	32nd
Bubba Watson	4th	15th
Ernie Els	5th	15th
Ryan Palmer	6th	32nd
Nick Watney	7th	15th
Billy Horschel	8th	1st
Chris Kirk	9th	21st
Jeff Overton	10th	42nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Bobby Gates	62nd	4th(−58)
Jonas Blixt	16th	70th(+54)
Greg Chalmers	15th	65th(+50)
Aaron Watkins	57th	8th(−49)
Lucas Glover	51st	4th(−47)
John Peterson	55th	8th(−47)
D.H. Lee	53rd	8th(−45)
Kyle Stanley	47th	3rd(−44)
Jason Dufner	1st	42nd(+41)
Luke List	67th	31st(−36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans in 2013?

Billy Horschel won the 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans played?

The 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans was played at TPC Louisiana, starting 25 April 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Billy Horschel.

How many players were in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans field?

149 players started the 2013 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.