OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions

2019-10-31 · Sheshan International GC

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-19
Field
72
Field strength
+0.438 SG

The 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 31 October 2019. Rory McIlroy won at 19 under par (269). The winning card was 67, 67, 67 and 68, and the win paid $1,745,000. Xander Schauffele finished second, and Louis Oosthuizen was third. 72 players started the event. The field averaged +0.438 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 53% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 72. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.397
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (73rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st28th
Rory McIlroy2nd1st
Tommy Fleetwood3rd53rd
Hideki Matsuyama4th11th
Paul Casey5th38th
Tony Finau6th53rd
Henrik Stenson7th20th
Xander Schauffele8th2nd
Patrick Reed9th8th
Louis Oosthuizen10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tommy Fleetwood3rd53rd(+50)
Paul Waring57th8th(−49)
Tony Finau6th53rd(+47)
Jazz Janewattananond60th14th(−46)
Matthias Schwab49th4th(−45)
Victor Perez49th4th(−45)
Chez Reavie22nd60th(+38)
Rafa Cabrera Bello20th57th(+37)
Jorge Campillo70th34th(−36)
Carl Yuan52nd17th(−35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sheshan International GC in Shanghai, CHN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in 2019-2020?

Rory McIlroy won the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions at Sheshan International GC, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions played?

The 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 31 October 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions?

The winning score was 19 under par (269 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions field?

72 players started the 2019-2020 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.