OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions

2018-10-25 · Sheshan International GC

Winner
Xander Schauffele
Winning score
-14
Field
74
Field strength
+0.671 SG

The 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 25 October 2018. Xander Schauffele won at 14 under par (274). The winning card was 66, 71, 69 and 68, and the win paid $1,700,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Justin Rose was third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.671 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 54% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.522
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st30th
Justin Rose2nd3rd
Francesco Molinari3rd43rd
Rory McIlroy4th54th
Paul Casey5th16th
Hideki Matsuyama6th30th
Brooks Koepka7th16th
Jason Day8th11th
Tony Finau9th2nd
Tommy Fleetwood10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy4th54th(+50)
Haotong Li57th11th(−46)
Alexander Levy69th28th(−41)
Francesco Molinari3rd43rd(+40)
Brian Harman33rd72nd(+39)
Andrew Putnam43rd4th(−39)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat41st4th(−37)
Russell Knox32nd68th(+36)
Alexander Björk64th28th(−36)
Satoshi Kodaira73rd37th(−36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sheshan International GC in Shanghai, CHN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in 2018-2019?

Xander Schauffele won the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions at Sheshan International GC, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions played?

The 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 25 October 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Xander Schauffele.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions field?

74 players started the 2018-2019 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.