Tournaments / 2016-2017
World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions
2016-10-27 · Sheshan International GC
- Winner
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Winning score
- -23
- Field
- 73
- Field strength
- +0.683 SG
The 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 27 October 2016. Hideki Matsuyama won at 23 under par (265), 7 strokes ahead of Daniel Berger. The winning card was 66, 65, 68 and 66, and the win paid $1,620,000. Daniel Berger and Henrik Stenson tied for second. 73 players started the event. The field averaged +0.683 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 51% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 73. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 265
- Daniel Berger
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 272
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 273
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 273
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 274
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Ross Fisher
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Russell Knox
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 276
- Sergio Garcia
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 276
- Emiliano Grillo
- Pos
- 11
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Alex Noren
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 80
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 279
- Thomas Pieters
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 279
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Joost Luiten
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 281
- Rafa Cabrera Bello
- Pos
- T19
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 282
- Rikard Karlberg
- Pos
- T19
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 282
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.416
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 15.7
Grade is this event’s percentile (78th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 4th |
| Henrik Stenson | 2nd | 2nd |
| Paul Casey | 3rd | 12th |
| Dustin Johnson | 4th | 35th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 5th | 1st |
| Bubba Watson | 6th | 54th |
| Matt Kuchar | 7th | 21st |
| Sergio Garcia | 8th | 9th |
| Adam Scott | 9th | 14th |
| Rickie Fowler | 10th | 6th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Willett | 22nd | 75th(+53) |
| Rikard Karlberg | 68th | 19th(−49) |
| Bubba Watson | 6th | 54th(+48) |
| Jimmy Walker | 30th | 77th(+47) |
| Alex Noren | 59th | 12th(−47) |
| Patrick Reed | 14th | 60th(+46) |
| Kevin Kisner | 28th | 70th(+42) |
| Xinjun Zhang | 62nd | 21st(−41) |
| Ashun Wu | 64th | 23rd(−41) |
| Ross Fisher | 45th | 6th(−39) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Sheshan International GC in Shanghai, CHN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions?
How many players were in the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.