OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions

2015-11-05 · Sheshan International GC

Winner
Russell Knox
Winning score
-20
Field
74
Field strength
+0.526 SG

The 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 5 November 2015. Russell Knox won at 20 under par (268), 2 strokes ahead of Kevin Kisner. The winning card was 67, 65, 68 and 68, and the win paid $1,400,000. Kevin Kisner finished second, and Danny Willett and Ross Fisher tied for third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.526 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 50% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.303
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (43rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st11th
Bubba Watson2nd35th
Adam Scott3rd70th
Dustin Johnson4th5th
Jordan Spieth5th7th
Kevin Na6th57th
Sergio Garcia7th11th
Henrik Stenson8th11th
Rickie Fowler9th17th
Paul Casey10th23rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Adam Scott3rd70th(+67)
Thongchai Jaidee68th11th(−57)
Ross Fisher57th3rd(−54)
Shane Lowry16th68th(+52)
Chris Kirk24th76th(+52)
Kevin Na6th57th(+51)
Marc Warren26th76th(+50)
Haotong Li55th7th(−48)
Matt Fitzpatrick49th7th(−42)
David Lingmerth34th72nd(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sheshan International GC in Shanghai, CHN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions in 2015-2016?

Russell Knox won the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions at Sheshan International GC, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions played?

The 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions was played at Sheshan International GC, starting 5 November 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Russell Knox.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions field?

74 players started the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.