Tournaments / 2015-2016
World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship
2016-03-03 · Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course
- Winner
- Adam Scott
- Winning score
- -12
- Field
- 68
- Field strength
- +0.725 SG
The 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, starting 3 March 2016. Adam Scott won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Bubba Watson. The winning card was 68, 66, 73 and 69, and the win paid $1,620,000. Bubba Watson finished second, and Danny Willett and Rory McIlroy tied for third. 68 players started the event. The field averaged +0.725 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 66% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 68. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Bubba Watson
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 277
- Danny Willett
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 278
- Phil Mickelson
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 279
- Jimmy Walker
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 280
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 282
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Smylie Kaufman
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 283
- Harris English
- Pos
- 10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 284
- Jason Dufner
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 285
- Rafa Cabrera Bello
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 285
- Sergio Garcia
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 285
- Bernd Wiesberger
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 286
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 79
- Total
- 286
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 286
- Andy Sullivan
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 287
- Charl Schwartzel
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 287
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 287
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 287
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 64 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.488
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 17.2
Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 3rd |
| Henrik Stenson | 2nd | 28th |
| Jordan Spieth | 3rd | 17th |
| Bubba Watson | 4th | 2nd |
| Jason Day | 5th | 23rd |
| Justin Rose | 6th | 17th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 7th | 35th |
| Rickie Fowler | 8th | 8th |
| Dustin Johnson | 9th | 14th |
| Brooks Koepka | 10th | 23rd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | 59th | 11th(−48) |
| Andy Sullivan | 58th | 17th(−41) |
| J.B. Holmes | 19th | 59th(+40) |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 53rd | 14th(−39) |
| Smylie Kaufman | 44th | 8th(−36) |
| Patrick Reed | 18th | 52nd(+34) |
| Søren Kjeldsen | 61st | 28th(−33) |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 7th | 35th(+28) |
| Anirban Lahiri | 56th | 28th(−28) |
| Zach Johnson | 20th | 47th(+27) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course in Miami, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship in 2015-2016?
Where was the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship?
How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.