OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship

2015-03-05 · Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-9
Field
74
Field strength
+0.785 SG

The 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, starting 5 March 2015. Dustin Johnson won at 9 under par (279), 1 stroke ahead of J.B. Holmes. The winning card was 68, 73, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,570,000. J.B. Holmes finished second, and Bubba Watson was third. 74 players started the event. The field averaged +0.785 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 64% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 74. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.525
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st9th
Adam Scott2nd4th
Sergio Garcia3rd31st
Jason Day4th31st
Bubba Watson5th3rd
Henrik Stenson6th4th
Jim Furyk7th12th
Justin Rose8th55th
Matt Kuchar9th23rd
Hideki Matsuyama10th23rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Thomas Aiken71st23rd(−48)
Justin Rose8th55th(+47)
Ross Fisher68th23rd(−45)
Graeme McDowell12th56th(+44)
J.B. Holmes46th2nd(−44)
Morgan Hoffmann61st17th(−44)
Mikko Ilonen64th23rd(−41)
Louis Oosthuizen45th6th(−39)
Hunter Mahan30th65th(+35)
Danny Willett47th12th(−35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course in Miami, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship in 2014-2015?

Dustin Johnson won the 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship played?

The 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, starting 5 March 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship?

The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship field?

74 players started the 2014-2015 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.