OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Wells Fargo Championship

2014-05-01 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
J.B. Holmes
Winning score
-14
Field
150
Field strength
+0.067 SG

The 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 1 May 2014. J.B. Holmes won at 14 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Jim Furyk. The winning card was 70, 67, 66 and 71, and the win paid $1,242,000. Jim Furyk finished second, and Martin Flores was third. 150 players started the event. The field averaged +0.067 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 150. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.434
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (82nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st8th
Justin Rose2nd5th
Jim Furyk3rd2nd
Phil Mickelson4th11th
Webb Simpson5th38th
Ryan Moore6th18th
Zach Johnson7th14th
Bill Haas8th44th
Chris Kirk9th30th
Hunter Mahan10th50th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Kisner60th6th(−54)
Mark Wilson66th23rd(−43)
Jason Bohn46th4th(−42)
Geoff Ogilvy55th14th(−41)
Y.E. Yang64th23rd(−41)
Hunter Mahan10th50th(+40)
Michael Thompson49th11th(−38)
Derek Ernst68th30th(−38)
Cameron Tringale23rd60th(+37)
Brian Harman28th65th(+37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2013-2014?

J.B. Holmes won the 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 1 May 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by J.B. Holmes.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

150 players started the 2013-2014 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.