OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2018-02-01 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Gary Woodland
Winning score
-18
Field
133
Field strength
+0.235 SG

The 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 1 February 2018. Gary Woodland won at 18 under par (266). The winning card was 67, 68, 67 and 64, and the win paid $1,242,000. Chez Reavie finished second, and Brendan Steele and Ollie Schniederjans tied for third. 133 players started the event. The field averaged +0.235 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 133. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.466
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (88th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st11th
Jon Rahm2nd11th
Justin Thomas3rd17th
Francesco Molinari4th40th
Matt Kuchar5th5th
Marc Leishman6th31st
Daniel Berger7th11th
Zach Johnson8th57th
Chez Reavie9th2nd
Phil Mickelson10th5th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Zach Johnson8th57th(+49)
Shane Lowry22nd65th(+43)
Beau Hossler58th17th(−41)
Bryson DeChambeau44th5th(−39)
Scott Stallings62nd23rd(−39)
Brian Gay47th9th(−38)
Vaughn Taylor49th11th(−38)
Aaron Baddeley63rd26th(−37)
Francesco Molinari4th40th(+36)
Nick Watney61st26th(−35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2017-2018?

Gary Woodland won the 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 1 February 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Gary Woodland.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

133 players started the 2017-2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.