Tournaments / 2021-2022
Valspar Championship
2022-03-17 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Sam Burns
- Winning score
- -17
- Field
- 150
- Field strength
- +0.084 SG
The 2021-2022 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 17 March 2022. Sam Burns won at 17 under par (267). The winning card was 64, 67, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,404,000. Davis Riley finished second, and Justin Thomas and Matt NeSmith tied for third. 150 players started the event. The field averaged +0.084 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 150. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Sam Burns
- Pos
- P1
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 267
- Davis Riley
- Pos
- P2
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 267
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 268
- Matt NeSmith
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 61
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 268
- Brian Harman
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 270
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 270
- Adam Hadwin
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 272
- Kevin Streelman
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Robert Streb
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Sahith Theegala
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 272
- Stewart Cink
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Alex Noren
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 273
- Brooks Koepka
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 273
- Shane Lowry
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 273
- Xander Schauffele
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 273
- Brian Stuard
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Luke Donald
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 274
- Scott Stallings
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 274
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Pos
- T16
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 274
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.170
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 25.2
Grade is this event’s percentile (11th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Hovland | 1st | 33rd |
| Justin Thomas | 2nd | 3rd |
| Collin Morikawa | 3rd | 68th |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 4th | 62nd |
| Xander Schauffele | 5th | 12th |
| Dustin Johnson | 6th | 39th |
| Sam Burns | 7th | 1st |
| Webb Simpson | 8th | 48th |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 9th | 21st |
| Cameron Tringale | 10th | 62nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Morikawa | 3rd | 68th(+65) |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 4th | 62nd(+58) |
| Cameron Tringale | 10th | 62nd(+52) |
| Robert Streb | 59th | 7th(−52) |
| Brandon Hagy | 71st | 21st(−50) |
| Davis Riley | 51st | 2nd(−49) |
| Pat Perez | 22nd | 70th(+48) |
| Richy Werenski | 67th | 21st(−46) |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 20th | 62nd(+42) |
| Luke Donald | 58th | 16th(−42) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2021-2022?
Where was the 2021-2022 Valspar Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 Valspar Championship?
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.