Tournaments / 2020-2021
Valspar Championship
2021-04-29 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Sam Burns
- Winning score
- -17
- Field
- 157
- Field strength
- -0.001 SG
The 2020-2021 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 29 April 2021. Sam Burns won at 17 under par (267), 3 strokes ahead of Keegan Bradley. The winning card was 67, 63, 69 and 68, and the win paid $1,242,000. Keegan Bradley finished second, and Cameron Tringale and Viktor Hovland tied for third. 157 players started the event. The field averaged -0.001 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 157. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Sam Burns
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 63
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 267
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 270
- Cameron Tringale
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Viktor Hovland
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 271
- Abraham Ancer
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Max Homa
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 274
- Vaughn Taylor
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Joaquin Niemann
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 275
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Troy Merritt
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 276
- Camilo Villegas
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 276
- Bronson Burgoon
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Bubba Watson
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 277
- Hank Lebioda
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Adam Schenk
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 278
- Ted Potter, Jr.
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 63
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 278
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 68 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.418
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 18.2
Grade is this event’s percentile (78th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas | 1st | 13th |
| Dustin Johnson | 2nd | 48th |
| Abraham Ancer | 3rd | 5th |
| Viktor Hovland | 4th | 3rd |
| Paul Casey | 5th | 21st |
| Scottie Scheffler | 6th | 29th |
| Corey Conners | 7th | 21st |
| Sungjae Im | 8th | 29th |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 9th | 8th |
| Joaquin Niemann | 10th | 8th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palmer | 13th | 63rd(+50) |
| Dustin Johnson | 2nd | 48th(+46) |
| Hank Lebioda | 59th | 13th(−46) |
| Camilo Villegas | 53rd | 11th(−42) |
| Ted Potter, Jr. | 60th | 18th(−42) |
| Jimmy Walker | 67th | 29th(−38) |
| Vaughn Taylor | 43rd | 6th(−37) |
| Bronson Burgoon | 49th | 13th(−36) |
| Michael Gligic | 65th | 29th(−36) |
| Troy Merritt | 39th | 8th(−31) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2020-2021?
Where was the 2020-2021 Valspar Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Valspar Championship?
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.