Tournaments / 2014-2015

Valero Texas Open

2015-03-26 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner: Jimmy Walker
Winning score: -11
Field: 141
Field strength: +0.108 SG

The 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 26 March 2015. Jimmy Walker won at 11 under par (277), 4 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 71, 67, 69 and 70, and the win paid $1,116,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Billy Horschel was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.108 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Jimmy Walker	71	67	69	70	277	-11
2	Jordan Spieth	71	69	71	70	281	-7
3	Billy Horschel	72	70	71	71	284	-4
T4	Chesson Hadley	71	72	71	71	285	-3
T4	Daniel Summerhays	71	73	72	69	285	-3
T6	Dustin Johnson	78	72	68	68	286	-2
T6	Ryan Palmer	70	75	73	68	286	-2
T8	Brendan Steele	74	68	72	73	287	-1
T8	Chris Kirk	71	71	73	72	287	-1
T8	Scott Pinckney	73	72	69	73	287	-1
T11	Charley Hoffman	67	72	79	70	288	E
T11	Jason Kokrak	72	71	71	74	288	E
T11	John Peterson	74	72	74	68	288	E
T11	Kyle Reifers	77	68	75	68	288	E
T15	Cameron Percy	72	74	74	69	289	+1
T15	Carlos Ortiz	79	67	70	73	289	+1
T15	John Merrick	72	72	72	73	289	+1
T15	K.J. Choi	75	70	73	71	289	+1
T15	Matt Kuchar	72	74	74	69	289	+1
T20	Aaron Baddeley	68	71	76	75	290	+2

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade

Rank correlation: +0.369
Top-20 hit rate: 60%
Top-10 avg model rank: 22.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (76th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Matt Kuchar	1st	15th
Jim Furyk	2nd	58th
Zach Johnson	3rd	20th
Jordan Spieth	4th	2nd
Jimmy Walker	5th	1st
Kevin Na	6th	20th
Dustin Johnson	7th	6th
Ryan Palmer	8th	6th
Phil Mickelson	9th	30th
Chris Kirk	10th	8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Scott Pinckney	71st	8th(−63)
Chesson Hadley	65th	4th(−61)
Jim Furyk	2nd	58th(+56)
Kevin Chappell	12th	66th(+54)
Will MacKenzie	22nd	74th(+52)
John Merrick	64th	15th(−49)
Cameron Percy	63rd	15th(−48)
Carlos Ortiz	61st	15th(−46)
Kyle Reifers	55th	11th(−44)
Branden Grace	72nd	30th(−42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2014-2015?

Jimmy Walker won the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 11 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 26 March 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 11 under par (277 strokes), posted by Jimmy Walker.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

141 players started the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.