OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Valero Texas Open

2015-03-26 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Jimmy Walker
Winning score
-11
Field
141
Field strength
+0.108 SG

The 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 26 March 2015. Jimmy Walker won at 11 under par (277), 4 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 71, 67, 69 and 70, and the win paid $1,116,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Billy Horschel was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.108 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.360
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (62nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk1st58th
Matt Kuchar2nd15th
Dustin Johnson3rd6th
Zach Johnson4th20th
Kevin Na5th20th
Jordan Spieth6th2nd
Jimmy Walker7th1st
Ryan Palmer8th6th
Brendon Todd9th30th
Phil Mickelson10th30th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Scott Pinckney72nd8th(−64)
Chesson Hadley63rd4th(−59)
Jim Furyk1st58th(+57)
John Merrick66th15th(−51)
Will MacKenzie26th74th(+48)
Kevin Chappell19th66th(+47)
Cameron Percy62nd15th(−47)
Shane Lowry17th58th(+41)
Michael Putnam34th75th(+41)
Brice Garnett71st30th(−41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2014-2015?

Jimmy Walker won the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 11 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 26 March 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 11 under par (277 strokes), posted by Jimmy Walker.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

141 players started the 2014-2015 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.