OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Travelers Championship

2016-08-04 · TPC River Highlands

Winner
Russell Knox
Winning score
-14
Field
154
Field strength
-0.002 SG

The 2015-2016 Travelers Championship was played at TPC River Highlands, starting 4 August 2016. Russell Knox won at 14 under par (266), 1 stroke ahead of Jerry Kelly. The winning card was 67, 67, 64 and 68, and the win paid $1,188,000. Jerry Kelly finished second, and Justin Thomas and Patrick Rodgers tied for third. 154 players started the event. The field averaged -0.002 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.336
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (55th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Bubba Watson1st25th
Matt Kuchar2nd17th
Paul Casey3rd17th
Webb Simpson4th34th
Zach Johnson5th47th
Jim Furyk6th5th
Brooks Koepka7th9th
Francesco Molinari8th47th
Patrick Reed9th11th
Brendan Steele10th17th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Robert Garrigus64th5th(−59)
Tyrone Van Aswegen62nd5th(−57)
Andres Gonzales69th17th(−52)
Carlos Ortiz66th17th(−49)
Patrick Rodgers49th3rd(−46)
Zach Johnson5th47th(+42)
Søren Kjeldsen23rd64th(+41)
David Toms33rd73rd(+40)
Shawn Stefani51st11th(−40)
Francesco Molinari8th47th(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Travelers Championship in 2015-2016?

Russell Knox won the 2015-2016 Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Travelers Championship played?

The 2015-2016 Travelers Championship was played at TPC River Highlands, starting 4 August 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Travelers Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (266 strokes), posted by Russell Knox.

How many players were in the Travelers Championship field?

154 players started the 2015-2016 Travelers Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.