OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

TOUR Championship **

2018-09-20 · East Lake Golf Club

Winner
Tiger Woods
Winning score
-11
Field
30
Field strength
+1.11 SG

The 2017-2018 TOUR Championship ** was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 20 September 2018. Tiger Woods won at 11 under par (269), 2 strokes ahead of Billy Horschel. The winning card was 65, 68, 65 and 71, and the win paid $1,620,000. Billy Horschel finished second, and Dustin Johnson was third. 30 players started the event. The field averaged +1.11 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 30. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 30 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.477
Top-15 hit rate
80%
Top-10 avg model rank
9.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (90th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st3rd
Justin Rose2nd4th
Justin Thomas3rd7th
Rickie Fowler4th7th
Rory McIlroy5th7th
Tiger Woods6th1st
Tommy Fleetwood7th11th
Brooks Koepka8th26th
Hideki Matsuyama9th4th
Tony Finau10th15th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Billy Horschel27th2nd(−25)
Brooks Koepka8th26th(+18)
Xander Schauffele25th7th(−18)
Aaron Wise28th15th(−13)
Webb Simpson15th4th(−11)
Patrick Reed17th28th(+11)
Gary Woodland22nd11th(−11)
Phil Mickelson20th30th(+10)
Cameron Smith29th20th(−9)
Patton Kizzire30th21st(−9)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the TOUR Championship ** in 2017-2018?

Tiger Woods won the 2017-2018 TOUR Championship ** at East Lake Golf Club, finishing 11 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 TOUR Championship ** played?

The 2017-2018 TOUR Championship ** was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 20 September 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 TOUR Championship **?

The winning score was 11 under par (269 strokes), posted by Tiger Woods.

How many players were in the TOUR Championship ** field?

30 players started the 2017-2018 TOUR Championship **. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.