OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

TOUR Championship

2017-09-21 · East Lake Golf Club

Winner
Xander Schauffele
Winning score
-12
Field
30
Field strength
+1.108 SG

The 2016-2017 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 21 September 2017. Xander Schauffele won at 12 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Justin Thomas. The winning card was 69, 66, 65 and 68, and the win paid $1,575,000. Justin Thomas finished second, and Kevin Kisner and Russell Henley tied for third. 30 players started the event. The field averaged +1.108 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 30. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 30 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.115
Top-15 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
14.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (5th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st17th
Jordan Spieth2nd7th
Paul Casey3rd5th
Rickie Fowler4th26th
Hideki Matsuyama5th26th
Jason Day6th17th
Justin Rose7th10th
Justin Thomas8th2nd
Jon Rahm9th7th
Matt Kuchar10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele29th1st(−28)
Rickie Fowler4th26th(+22)
Kevin Kisner25th3rd(−22)
Hideki Matsuyama5th26th(+21)
Russell Henley24th3rd(−21)
Dustin Johnson1st17th(+16)
Marc Leishman11th24th(+13)
Tony Finau20th7th(−13)
Kevin Chappell16th28th(+12)
Jason Day6th17th(+11)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the TOUR Championship in 2016-2017?

Xander Schauffele won the 2016-2017 TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 TOUR Championship played?

The 2016-2017 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 21 September 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 TOUR Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Xander Schauffele.

How many players were in the TOUR Championship field?

30 players started the 2016-2017 TOUR Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.