Tournaments / 2025
The Sentry
2025-01-02 · Plantation Course at Kapalua
- Winner
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Winning score
- -35
- Field
- 59
- Field strength
- +0.306 SG
The 2025 The Sentry was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 2 January 2025. Hideki Matsuyama won at 35 under par (257), 3 strokes ahead of Collin Morikawa. The winning card was 65, 65, 62 and 65, and the win paid $3,600,000. Collin Morikawa finished second, and Sungjae Im was third. 59 players started the event. The field averaged +0.306 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 97% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 59. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 257
- Collin Morikawa
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 260
- Sungjae Im
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 62
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 263
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 267
- Corey Conners
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 268
- Ludvig Åberg
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 64
- Total
- 268
- Thomas Detry
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 268
- Cameron Young
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 269
- Harry Hall
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 269
- Maverick McNealy
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 269
- Sam Burns
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 269
- Tom Hoge
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 269
- Cam Davis
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 270
- Taylor Pendrith
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 270
- Aaron Rai
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 271
- Adam Scott
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 271
- Austin Eckroat
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 271
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Robert MacIntyre
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 271
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 58 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.431
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 19.3
Grade is this event’s percentile (81st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Morikawa | 1st | 2nd |
| Xander Schauffele | 2nd | 30th |
| Ludvig Åberg | 3rd | 5th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 4th | 1st |
| Justin Thomas | 5th | 26th |
| Patrick Cantlay | 6th | 15th |
| Viktor Hovland | 7th | 36th |
| Corey Conners | 8th | 5th |
| Sungjae Im | 9th | 3rd |
| Russell Henley | 10th | 30th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Harman | 13th | 58th(+45) |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 42nd | 4th(−38) |
| Thomas Detry | 43rd | 5th(−38) |
| Cam Davis | 51st | 13th(−38) |
| Harry Hall | 41st | 8th(−33) |
| Tom Hoge | 39th | 8th(−31) |
| Cameron Young | 38th | 8th(−30) |
| Viktor Hovland | 7th | 36th(+29) |
| Xander Schauffele | 2nd | 30th(+28) |
| Billy Horschel | 23rd | 51st(+28) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the The Sentry in 2025?
Where was the 2025 The Sentry played?
What was the winning score at the 2025 The Sentry?
How many players were in the The Sentry field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.